FidelityConnects: UK & Europe Market Trends: What They Mean for Global Investors

Catch up on our webcast where Investment Director Tom Stevenson explores the latest developments across the UK and European markets. Gain insights into key economic drivers, sector trends and potential opportunities that can help you position portfolios for success in today’s interconnected global landscape.

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<b>Subtitles are AI Generated</b>

 

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Hello, and welcome to Fidelity Connects.

 

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I'm Pamela Ritchie. Ten years on from Brexit, will investors of the

 

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future be investing in a much more integrated Europe which includes the UK?

 

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Does the shake-up in today's UK political scene provide an investment

 

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entry point? It appears UK Prime Minister heir apparent, Andy

 

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Burnham, is pledging to transfer powers out of London and

 

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into more municipal and regional economies.

 

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A reversal of Westminster-centric rule how will markets digest

 

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Burnham's pledge overall?

 

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On the eve of important summits like NATO's annual in Turkey

 

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does this moment mark a pivotal time in the century for European

 

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investment in sectors like defence, banking, and, of course, AI?

 

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Joining us here today live from London to discuss these topics is Fidelity

 

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investment director Tom Stevenson.

 

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Tom, great to see you again. How are you?

 

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I'm very well, Pamela. Thanks very much for having me back on the show.

 

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It's good to be here.

 

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We're always delighted to have you and what a moment for it.

 

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I mean, there are many moving parts. Shall

 

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we begin with a bit of a reflection on Brexit?

 

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It has been 10 years and I think a lot of people, the discussion is

 

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where were you when it happened? We all watched the pound sink and then shoot

 

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back up again, actually.

 

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What is sort of your takeaways at this point as you've been living it

 

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and reporting on it?

 

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There were different angles, aren't there?

 

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I think from an economic perspective I

 

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think there is, you know, fairly broad agreement now

 

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that Brexit has not been a huge success for the

 

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UK economy.

 

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I mean, the proponents of Brexit will claim that it just wasn't executed

 

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well enough and the remainers will claim that it should never

 

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have happened in the first place. There'll always be that disagreement.

 

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I think that the UK economy is probably smaller than it would have

 

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been were it not for Brexit.

 

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I think in market terms, you know,

 

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I wrote about this recently and I think it's interesting because

 

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clearly the UK stock market has performed relatively

 

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poorly over the last 10 years, certainly compared to

 

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the US stock market.

 

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I think it's quite difficult to really point the finger at Brexit and say

 

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that's the reason why the UK stock market has done

 

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badly. Many of the factors

 

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which have contributed to the poor performance were

 

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already happening in 2016.

 

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For example, you know, UK pension funds were already

 

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reducing their exposure to the domestic stock market in favor of

 

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global exposure.

 

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The UK pension funds had something like

 

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40% of their assets held in UK stocks, it's now about 5%.

 

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There's been a massive diminution in importance of the

 

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UK stock market. I think that was already happening,

 

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I think what was also already happening was this preference

 

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for investors to invest in

 

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growth sectors, particularly technology which is an area which

 

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the UK, even at the time, was not particularly strong in.

 

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I think you can point the finger at Brexit but I think it's a more

 

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nuanced situation than just pointing the finger and blaming Brexit

 

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for what's happened.

 

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For sure, because many things happened at the same time.

 

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There was a pandemic to get through. The world shifted in many different ways

 

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all at the same time. Is it important to take a look

 

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from here where some further integration with

 

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Europe comes back in, or not?

 

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I mean, perhaps it doesn't.

 

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You certainly see the EU discussing what they need to change to perhaps

 

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include new neighbours.

 

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Ukraine's working towards it, we know that story there.

 

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It also is retooling itself, to an extent, to

 

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address the world that it lives in today.

 

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Is there a thought that the UK might come back in almost as if it was joining

 

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for the first time an organization that is also shifting itself?

 

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I think there's been a shifting appreciation

 

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of the benefits of membership of an

 

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organization such as the European Union.

 

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The geopolitical landscape has changed out of all recognition

 

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in 10 years and Europe needs to be as strong as it

 

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can be in those circumstances.

 

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The UK economy is still a very significant large economy.

 

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The UK's armed forces while diminished are still very

 

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significant and have expertise which would be extremely useful to

 

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a European armed force.

 

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I think that there is a desire probably on both sides to have some

 

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sort of closer integration. It's still politically

 

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sensitive but it is less politically sensitive than it was even just a few

 

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years ago. I mean, if you had a referendum today

 

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without a shadow of doubt the UK would not leave the EU.

 

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Now, that's not quite the same thing as saying that

 

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the UK would vote to go back into the EU,

 

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and if it did it would probably do it in different circumstances

 

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and in a different framework.

 

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This is a long process, this is not going to happen in the next three,

 

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five years. Frankly, if it happens in my lifetime I'll be quite surprised.

 

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But I do think that the UK is going to get closer to Europe.

 

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I'll just push back on that point a little bit because it seems like the heir

 

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apparent prime minister, Andy Burnham, who will come in to replace Keir Starmer

 

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as leader of the UK, is pushing for

 

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to push through agendas faster.

 

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Your words, perhaps Keir Starmer when

 

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the sort of chips fall was not bold enough in pushing through

 

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new agendas to address a new world, a shifting world.

 

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I mean, every country is dealing with this. Every country is trying to shift

 

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and change their industry and make sure that it's ready and retooled so that it

 

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can protect itself, ultimately, and its economy.

 

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What will Andy Burnham, we think probably the next prime minister, actually

 

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execute on? I think almost we need to be brought up to date on what the

 

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framework and goal is here.

 

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Andy Burnham made his first big

 

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speech as heir apparent, if you like,

 

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today, just a couple of hours ago.

 

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He did broadly set out a kind of 10-year

 

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agenda. It's not so very different from what the

 

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last two years Labour government, I think, would like to have achieved.

 

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I think the focus is slightly different. The previous government was really

 

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focused on trying to create growth in the

 

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economy. It has signally failed to do that and I think that is one of

 

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the reasons why two years after achieving

 

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a very big landslide victory in

 

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the general election it is now extremely unpopular as a government,

 

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which is why we've got the change that we have got.

 

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I think that Andy Burnham's focus is more of a traditional,

 

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if you like, left-wing view of the world.

 

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He's talking about a massive expansion in council

 

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house building, for example. Much needed, the UK has

 

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failed to build enough houses for not years but decades.

 

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That's one thing that he's promised to do.

 

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He's talked about skills and retooling the

 

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economy more to reindustrialize

 

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the economy, creating more of a sort of, I would say a German style

 

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economy where apprenticeships are as highly

 

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valued as a university education, for example.

 

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That's huge, right?

 

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Just take a stab, tell us what foreign students coming to

 

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UK universities was worth to the economy.

 

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I mean, at one point, that was a huge chunk.

 

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It was known for university education.

 

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To shift that slightly would be pretty massive, no?

 

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Well, there was a massive change under a

 

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previous Labour government where university education

 

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which was the preserve of the few became the preserve of

 

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half the population.

 

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I don't think that experiment has really worked because I think

 

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a lot of young people went into a university education

 

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where they would have been better suited yo a more practical,

 

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vocational education.

 

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I think that what Andy Burnham is suggesting is that we rethink the

 

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education system in the UK, which, as you say, is a

 

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very big step. I think the third element that he talked about in his speech

 

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which is very significant is in terms of ownership of

 

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the productive assets of the economy, whether

 

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that's utilities, water, electricity, railways.

 

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Now, again, what he's not suggesting is that he's going to come into power and

 

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renationalize everything.

 

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And pay for it.

 

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For one thing the money is not there to do that, and everyone

 

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knows the money is not there to do that.

 

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This is an aspirational thing.

 

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This is something which is going to take 10 years.

 

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That's why he's talking about a 10-year program because

 

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all of this costs a huge amount of money.

 

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Burnham does have some form here.

 

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He made some comments a few months ago which really

 

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rattled the financial markets. He said, you know, I'm not going to be in

 

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hock to the bond market, his words, and he's

 

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been really backpedaling from that ever since.

 

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As we all know, politicians

 

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and the financial markets operate together

 

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in a close embrace and they need to trust each other.

 

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I think that where we are at the moment is the bond market is, for now, giving

 

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Andy Burnham the benefit of the doubt.

 

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He said I will stick to the previous government's fiscal rules,

 

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I will be fiscally responsible.

 

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Yes, I have ambitious plans for the economy but I will not do that

 

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in an irresponsible way. The bond market is, for now, saying, okay, we believe

 

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you, you know, let's have some more detail on those plans.

 

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Bond yields have actually fallen since the announcement of

 

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Keir Starmer's resignation and since it became clear that Burnham was

 

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almost certainly going to be the next Prime Minister.

 

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Some certainty, perhaps, just being priced in where directionally

 

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things will go. Let's talk a little bit about AI within the

 

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UK. You've mentioned a number of pieces there.

 

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We seem to be at a new stage for all countries around

 

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the world who are developing aspects of AI, trying to figure out the platform

 

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for regulation. Nobody's quite sorted it out completely.

 

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There's still innovation. The next step you've written recently in

 

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The Telegraph is perhaps the picks and shovels but also those using

 

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the picks and shovels. I wonder if you can tell us more about that.

 

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On some level that's kind of every company deploying it

 

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to make things more accretive, ultimately, because you're using AI

 

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to bring down costs and up productivity.

 

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Is that where you're going with that one?

 

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I think the big question facing investors at the moment is, you know,

 

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is the AI boom really an AI bubble?

 

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I think the answer to that is that there are certain elements of the

 

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AI story which are overcooked.

 

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Maybe some of the

 

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semiconductor plays, the initial beneficiaries if you

 

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like, massive growth has been

 

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priced in to the market. I think the interesting thing from AI is

 

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that this is such

 

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a fundamental groundbreaking technology that it does change everything.

 

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The real beneficiaries of the AI

 

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boom will not necessarily be those initial companies that are

 

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building the infrastructure. They will be the companies that learn to use

 

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it effectively, exactly the same story as 25 years ago with the internet, but I

 

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think that there's also a transition going on between

 

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the initial sort of cognitive

 

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element of AI, the initial digital element, and its

 

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transfer into the physical world.

 

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I think the whole

 

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focus of the economy is going to shift from a digital-only

 

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focus more to a physical focus.

 

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I think that has enormous implications, investment implications as well,

 

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in terms of demand for not just commodities but

 

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also the kind of precision engineering,

 

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the automation, the robotics, the things that will be

 

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driven by AI in the future.

 

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The way investors need to think about this is they need to think about where

 

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is the expertise, where will people really benefit from that?

 

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For me, countries like Japan really come to the fore.

 

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I think that this is a massive opportunity for an economy like Japan's

 

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which has enormous expertise and knowledge in

 

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those areas I mentioned, precision engineering, robotics,

 

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automation, factory automation.

 

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I think it's good news for countries like your own.

 

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I think that's the commodities that will be sucked into this.

 

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Canada, Australia, South America, Latin America,

 

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emerging markets. I think it's good for some other sort of old

 

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economy economies, like the UK's, because

 

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some of the things that we are good at are more in focus now

 

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than maybe they have been for 10 years.

 

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I think this is not just a short term or a temporary shift,

 

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I think that this is a multi-year shift and a change in the

 

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balance of the economy.

 

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Which makes it more like a long term boom, a bullish, anyway,

 

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than so much of a bubble.

 

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Just to say a bit more ... there's a question coming in talking about growth

 

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specifically in the UK, also across Europe and the segments.

 

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You've mentioned precision drilling, things like robotics, other things,

 

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I guess just a further question about where you do

 

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... either types of companies or sectors where you do see growth potentially

 

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happening. I don't know if it's tied to the political regionalization of things

 

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as well but where do you see growth in the UK and Europe?

 

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I think one of the sort of key stories about Europe,

 

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and I'd include the UK in that, is that the geopolitical

 

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picture has changed so fundamentally over the last 10

 

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years that we, as a region, we need

 

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to stand on our own two feet in a way that we have not had to do in

 

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the past for obvious reasons.

 

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I think that that will demand enormous

 

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investment in defence for one thing

 

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but also more generally in just a reindustrialization

 

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of our economy, less of

 

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a focus on just sort of consuming things and more

 

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making things.

 

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Infrastructure spending, reindustrialization,

 

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defence spending, these are all sort of heavy,

 

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hard old economy type industries.

 

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A lot of those industries have just been passed over by investors for so long.

 

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For the last 10 years or so the focus has just been on technology

 

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and growth and it is now much more on the sort of physical world

 

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and value and those sectors have just been passed over.

 

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You mentioned that maybe this has an

 

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impact on the bull market and the duration of the bull market.

 

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This bull market, arguably, has been going on for about 17 years since the

 

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financial crisis. Now, if you look at the previous two bull markets in

 

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the post-war period they lasted for about 18 years, in the 1950s

 

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and '60s and then again in the '80s and '90s.

 

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Just in terms of duration you might say, well, I think

 

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this market is getting long in the tooth and it's mature and

 

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it's ready for a correction.

 

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I think that this shift in the economy, the shift in the focus of the

 

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economy has the potential to extend the bull market.

 

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I think for investors it's an interesting but also quite an exciting

 

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development.

 

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And is it possible we're just getting started?

 

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I mean, when you look at valuations, I mean, the

 

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argument is that earnings are there and they're not as expensive as you might

 

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think they would be.

 

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They're priced sort of quite well for entry points, arguably,

 

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this is what some people tell us. I mean, what do you think about that?

 

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I mean, there could be the argument that we are just getting started on some of

 

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this stuff.

 

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Yeah, I think we absolutely are just getting started on

 

18:03.015 --> 18:06.952

a completely transformational change in

 

18:06.952 --> 18:09.521

the global economy.

 

18:09.521 --> 18:14.393

The more I investigate and look into AI

 

18:14.393 --> 18:18.430

I think it has so much potential to change

 

18:18.430 --> 18:20.766

everything. Are we just getting into it?

 

18:20.766 --> 18:23.869

Possibly. Has it got a long way to run?

 

18:23.869 --> 18:27.239

Yes, absolutely, it does as a technology.

 

18:27.239 --> 18:30.509

As an investment I think it still has a way to run because I think we've got

 

18:30.509 --> 18:35.013

these rotations. It's not a straight line and one

 

18:35.013 --> 18:39.017

aspect of it will run out, others will pick up the baton and move

 

18:39.017 --> 18:43.522

on.

 

18:43.522 --> 18:47.526

I'm actually, curiously, I am more optimistic, I'm

 

18:47.526 --> 18:51.497

more bullish in the long run than

 

18:51.497 --> 18:57.703

I was earlier on in this bull market.

 

18:57.703 --> 19:01.640

Maybe it will come back to bite me, that optimism, but it just

 

19:01.640 --> 19:04.843

feels like this is a fundamental transformation.

 

19:04.843 --> 19:09.381

What is also quite interesting being

 

19:09.381 --> 19:12.518

forced through the doors here is the institutional changes.

 

19:12.518 --> 19:14.820

The global organizations are changing NATO.

 

19:14.820 --> 19:17.956

The question of what it needs to be going forward.

 

19:17.956 --> 19:22.161

There's a summit coming up with the question of whether in a way the Arctic

 

19:22.161 --> 19:26.365

will sort of be what links everything together rather than just the Atlantic

 

19:26.365 --> 19:29.234

treaty. It might be a little bit more north.

 

19:29.234 --> 19:33.505

We don't know how that's all going to work. But they are changing leadership.

 

19:33.505 --> 19:36.675

Europe is being asked to stand on his own two feet in the way the US is

 

19:36.675 --> 19:40.712

retreating. Tell us a bit about the UK in that, in sort of

 

19:40.712 --> 19:44.082

the defence area because that's the discussion that's gonna come up.

 

19:44.082 --> 19:48.453

Who's gonna be running the show here?

 

19:48.453 --> 19:52.391

I don't know who will be running the show but I think in terms of

 

19:52.391 --> 19:56.828

expertise and knowledge and know-how the

 

19:56.828 --> 20:00.232

UK has a really important role to play in that.

 

20:00.232 --> 20:03.769

I mean, our defence industries are very sophisticated.

 

20:03.769 --> 20:07.940

We have some really top notch companies in the likes of

 

20:07.940 --> 20:12.678

Rolls Royce and British Aerospace.

 

20:12.678 --> 20:16.615

Obviously, we're not alone in that, there are very significant German and

 

20:16.615 --> 20:20.085

French and Italian players in all of those markets.

 

20:20.085 --> 20:24.423

I think working together

 

20:24.423 --> 20:29.428

it's extremely powerful. Europe

 

20:29.428 --> 20:33.765

gets written off and there are good reasons why it can

 

20:33.765 --> 20:37.703

be dismissed by investors. It's a bureaucratic, it's

 

20:37.703 --> 20:39.838

a fragmented environment.

 

20:39.838 --> 20:43.775

It's not the United

 

20:43.775 --> 20:48.447

States of America

 

20:48.447 --> 20:51.450

but there are huge strengths within Europe.

 

20:51.450 --> 20:55.587

That's why I think both sides

 

20:55.587 --> 20:59.791

really are open-minded about having a much closer relationship

 

20:59.791 --> 21:05.030

because I think the UK has an awful lot to offer Europe.

 

21:05.030 --> 21:06.765

Bring us up to date on ...

 

21:06.765 --> 21:10.969

since the invasion of Ukraine the UK and other countries have been

 

21:10.969 --> 21:15.107

figuring out how they need to make sure they get energy.

 

21:15.107 --> 21:19.044

It actually hasn't just happened because of the oil crisis in the Straits

 

21:19.044 --> 21:23.115

of Hormuz right now, it's been something that's going on for four years and

 

21:23.115 --> 21:27.753

trying to make that everything from institutions

 

21:27.753 --> 21:32.190

as well as the energy that you power automobile

 

21:32.190 --> 21:36.495

manufacturers in Germany has a sustainable source of

 

21:36.495 --> 21:40.065

power that is not Russian, or is less Russian.

 

21:40.065 --> 21:41.967

How would you say that transition is going?

 

21:41.967 --> 21:44.936

I mean, there's a lot of sort of Canadian discussions and US discussions how

 

21:44.936 --> 21:48.974

LNG can get there to Europe. Those deals are being crafted

 

21:48.974 --> 21:52.878

but it is a transition, how's it going?

 

21:52.878 --> 21:56.948

Well, I would say it's probably not going

 

21:56.948 --> 21:59.885

as well as we would hope.

 

21:59.885 --> 22:04.156

I think that what the last four years has really made clear

 

22:04.156 --> 22:08.460

to Europe is that we are exposed on the

 

22:08.460 --> 22:10.195

energy front.

 

22:10.195 --> 22:14.232

We have allowed ourselves to become exposed

 

22:14.232 --> 22:18.437

because we have not taken seriously the threats which are

 

22:18.437 --> 22:21.473

now abundantly clear.

 

22:21.473 --> 22:23.208

It's not that we can't sort it out.

 

22:23.208 --> 22:27.379

You mentioned a greater

 

22:27.379 --> 22:31.416

dependence or greater sourcing of

 

22:31.416 --> 22:35.554

energy from your side of the pond to Europe, it's absolutely

 

22:35.554 --> 22:39.591

something that we have to do because we cannot rely on energy

 

22:39.591 --> 22:43.862

coming from either Russia or the Middle East

 

22:43.862 --> 22:47.699

to the extent that we have allowed ourselves to in the past.

 

22:47.699 --> 22:51.069

Would you say either with this change of government or just the fact that for

 

22:51.069 --> 22:55.006

the last year countries in Europe and the UK have

 

22:55.006 --> 22:58.677

known that this is coming, that the US is retreating and that they have to step

 

22:58.677 --> 23:03.515

up and solve things like energy security and defence and so on,

 

23:03.515 --> 23:06.585

is an interesting entry point, I guess is the question.

 

23:06.585 --> 23:10.589

It does appear that governments are very much on this, obsessing

 

23:10.589 --> 23:14.659

over it, making sure that the changes and sort of the pathways for those

 

23:14.659 --> 23:17.596

changes are being crafted.

 

23:17.596 --> 23:22.501

We're not there yet but is it an interesting time to take a look?

 

23:22.501 --> 23:27.906

In investment terms, yeah, absolutely.

 

23:27.906 --> 23:34.579

While all this has been happening  the focus has been elsewhere.

 

23:34.579 --> 23:37.416

The focus is still elsewhere. I mean, I think there are very attractive

 

23:37.416 --> 23:41.820

investment opportunities in places like Japan, we

 

23:41.820 --> 23:44.423

talked about the robotics and the automation there.

 

23:44.423 --> 23:48.160

Emerging markets, to a large extent that's a commodity story.

 

23:48.160 --> 23:52.731

While all this has been going on

 

23:52.731 --> 23:54.766

Europe and the UK have been overlooked.

 

23:54.766 --> 23:57.502

They've been out of favour.

 

23:57.502 --> 24:01.506

They are significantly

 

24:01.506 --> 24:05.677

cheap, especially the UK, the UK more than the continental

 

24:05.677 --> 24:09.714

European markets. The UK is trading on

 

24:09.714 --> 24:15.954

11 or 12 times earnings. It's roughly half as expensive as

 

24:15.954 --> 24:20.492

the US market. That is not really a fair reflection of the outlook in the

 

24:20.492 --> 24:24.429

UK. There are some good companies in the UK and

 

24:24.429 --> 24:26.431

they are extremely cheap at the moment.

 

24:26.431 --> 24:30.735

I think what we're seeing is that not just overseas investors

 

24:30.735 --> 24:35.040

but also overseas businesses are really recognizing the undervaluation

 

24:35.040 --> 24:39.044

of the UK market. Hardly a week

 

24:39.044 --> 24:43.048

goes by when we don't see another significant UK company

 

24:43.048 --> 24:50.021

receive a takeover bid, usually from the US

 

24:50.021 --> 24:54.092

but not always from the US. There is a recognition that the

 

24:54.092 --> 24:57.629

UK is undervalued compared to its potential.

 

24:57.629 --> 25:00.632

It could be a fascinating moment.

 

25:00.632 --> 25:04.870

Talk a little bit about the very business forward

 

25:04.870 --> 25:07.906

changes to the European political scene, if you don't mind.

 

25:07.906 --> 25:11.877

I'm thinking of Giorgia Meloni and the discussions, she's taken a bit more

 

25:11.877 --> 25:16.047

of a leadership role in sort of pushing, I guess you'd say the integration of

 

25:16.047 --> 25:18.917

Europe. She seems to be pushing for that.

 

25:18.917 --> 25:21.353

There are other voices as well.

 

25:21.353 --> 25:25.790

I just wanted to, as we close, just get your thoughts on a slightly shifting

 

25:25.790 --> 25:29.895

political chess field,

 

25:29.895 --> 25:33.365

I guess, for that. What do you think about Europe right now in terms of

 

25:33.365 --> 25:37.035

leadership?

 

25:37.035 --> 25:42.274

I think Europe still suffers from

 

25:42.274 --> 25:44.342

fragmentation politically.

 

25:44.342 --> 25:49.581

I think the

 

25:49.581 --> 25:53.852

desire is there for closer integration and

 

25:53.852 --> 25:57.689

the need is there for closer immigration.

 

25:57.689 --> 26:03.495

I think we are still a significant way off from from where we need to be.

 

26:03.495 --> 26:07.532

Britain coming back into that debate is part

 

26:07.532 --> 26:11.770

of it but it's going to take some

 

26:11.770 --> 26:15.840

time, it's gonna take some time. Really, I think if Europe could

 

26:15.840 --> 26:19.811

focus on one thing it would just be speed of action, getting things done more

 

26:19.811 --> 26:20.779

quickly.

 

26:20.779 --> 26:24.916

Does it matter to investors that that may not happen for X

 

26:24.916 --> 26:29.220

years? I mean, every country is investing in various critical

 

26:29.220 --> 26:33.291

areas of their economy and it's going to take until the 2030s

 

26:33.291 --> 26:36.361

for it to actually come through. Can you get in now, I guess, again, is the

 

26:36.361 --> 26:39.130

investment story while everything gets sorted out.

 

26:39.130 --> 26:43.535

Yeah, I think it does matter, the slowness of delivery

 

26:43.535 --> 26:47.672

matters because I think it will lead to something of

 

26:47.672 --> 26:50.375

a discount being attached to Europe.

 

26:50.375 --> 26:54.546

There is always the doubt whether it can

 

26:54.546 --> 26:58.750

be enacted quickly enough before the world moves on again and you're

 

26:58.750 --> 27:00.752

constantly running to catch up.

 

27:00.752 --> 27:04.756

I do think that many of the Asian economies,

 

27:04.756 --> 27:09.327

the US economy, other economies are more dynamic than

 

27:09.327 --> 27:14.065

Europe. I think that to an extent that the discount

 

27:14.065 --> 27:18.236

is warranted, to an extent, I just think it's too big.

 

27:18.236 --> 27:22.474

Okay, interesting. Do investors need to worry too much about a rate

 

27:22.474 --> 27:26.411

environment? In the US they'll say, yeah, could see a little

 

27:26.411 --> 27:30.415

bit up, or even down, but it's probably not gonna be a massive begin of

 

27:30.415 --> 27:33.251

a cycle. What about in Europe?

 

27:33.251 --> 27:35.186

I think the same story.

 

27:35.186 --> 27:39.157

We saw the ECB raising interest rates by a quarter of a point

 

27:39.157 --> 27:41.960

at its last meeting.

 

27:41.960 --> 27:45.096

The world was a very different place even just a few weeks ago.

 

27:45.096 --> 27:49.801

Oil at $100 a barrel, clearly inflationary.

 

27:49.801 --> 27:53.838

The ECB was clearly concerned about that, hiked rates by

 

27:53.838 --> 27:58.309

a quarter point. I think at $70 a barrel

 

27:58.309 --> 28:01.146

the pressure is off on inflation.

 

28:01.146 --> 28:05.684

I think that we probably won't see many more

 

28:05.684 --> 28:09.654

hikes in Europe and it's quite likely that we won't see

 

28:09.654 --> 28:12.757

a hike in the UK either.

 

28:12.757 --> 28:15.226

It's fantastic. I feel like you've given us a bit of a tour.

 

28:15.226 --> 28:18.296

We really needed one of Europe right now. This is an important moment.

 

28:18.296 --> 28:21.399

Is there any final thought you'd like to leave with investors on this side of

 

28:21.399 --> 28:25.070

the pond?

 

28:25.070 --> 28:29.074

The point that I always like to make is that

 

28:29.074 --> 28:33.211

the beauty of being an investor is you don't need to focus on one area

 

28:33.211 --> 28:37.148

completely. There are opportunities all around the world.

 

28:37.148 --> 28:41.319

For me, the biggest takeaway at the moment is I just think this whole

 

28:41.319 --> 28:45.757

AI transformation, this revolution is changing everything.

 

28:45.757 --> 28:48.093

I think it extends the bull market.

 

28:48.093 --> 28:51.162

I'm actually pretty optimistic at the moment.

 

28:51.162 --> 28:53.398

Fantastic. I'd love to end on that note.

 

28:53.398 --> 28:55.133

It does seem to be coming to the fore.

 

28:55.166 --> 28:59.170

Tom Stevenson, have a great week ahead and very happy to see you again.

 

28:59.170 --> 29:00.305

All the best.

 

29:00.305 --> 29:02.941

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29:02.941 --> 29:07.245

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